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As much as I think it would be in Miami's best interests to trade down, I don't think that will be an option. This is a 'flat draft'... there's not that much of a talent difference between the top 5-6 players available. I don't think anyone will give up what a #1 pick would cost to get any one specific player in this particular draft.
If it were me, I'd go for Chris Long. Let's face it, Miami needs several things, so 'need' is pretty subjective. C. Long seems to me like he has the lowest bust potential out of the group, and if I'm paying #1 money while in serious rebuilding mode, I want to get as close as possible to a sure thing. Let the guys with picks 4-8 go for the high-risk/high-reward guys.
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