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Green will be back, as well as lawson I believe. Ellington actually has a chance in this draft, but he is still sort of a tweener. Lawson is just too small, every point guard in this draft save for drew lavender is at least two inches taller than him and just as fast. as I mentioned before you have Gordon, Rose, Mayo, Bayless and those are just the underclassmen. I don't know who told Lawson he would be in the first round but it seems very optomistic. Green looks great athletically but he has shown he is still very immature in a lot of ways and he makes poor decisions and can be a very streaky shooter. He would get prime minutes next year especially if ellington leaves, probably doubling his points total, and with his defensive and rebounding skill could be a lottery pick the following year.
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I think the other three who have declared are motivated by the financial security of an NBA contract, which is only assured with a first round selection.