Fantasy Football QB ratings

I have to say the following

1. Peyton Manning (Will continue to be an elite QB but the OL is being retooled and will lower stats slightly

2. Drew Brees Will be focused to pass heavy in order to keep Reggie Bush and Deuce McCallister able to continue to run the ball

3. Tom Brady (Aging Defense and questionable OL will lower overall QB rating)

4. Ben Roethlisberger will have to pass more than run this year. The run game will be the focus of the team but will need to pass to keep opposing Defenses honest

5. Tony Romo, last years stats were inflated slightly, will be an elite QB next year but the age factor to Terrell Owend and Company has to come into question.

I missed Carson Palmer in this thread with the antics of Chad Johnson and T.J. I can not even see hiom get any where near what he has done in the past.

I think the sleeper will be David Garrard, like Big Ben will gets the stats via setting up the pass with the NFLs #2 RB tandam

Either way talent wise their are two top tier quarterbacks and a second tier with probably 6-8 guys that could compete for number 3.

Just my opinion.

I agree, Brady, Manning, Romo...

But for those that are expecting 35+ td's from Brady, don't count on it.  It is rare a player duplicates an amazing season (ask anyone who took manning #1 after his 49 TD's).  The average 2000 yard back has a drop off of 1000 yards and 9 TD"s the next year.  Rice's worst non-rookie season early in his career was after the record setting one. 

A simple statistical fact called regression to mean shows over and over that when a player has an outlier season (one extraordinarily better, or worse than their average), that they don't do it the next year.  I do think he will do better than his average season with his receiving corps, but 30-35 TD's is my expectation.  So I will pass on him in the first round this year, and get a 2nd tier QB again later.  BTW I did have Brady in both my leagues last year too.  It was awesome... I just don't expect that output again...