Fantasy Faceoffs: Post-NFL Draft questions
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With the NFL Draft in the rearview mirror, we have plenty to digest and discuss. Jamey Eisenberg and I touch on a few post-draft topics that we found interesting. | Who will be the best rookie running back? | | Dave Richard | Jamey Eisenberg | While I admit that Darren McFadden has tons of talent and upside, Jonathan Stewart was drafted by a better team and into a better situation. Carolina's O-line is light years ahead of Oakland's, and they got better with the addition of rookie right tackle Jeff Otah. The Panthers also like to use a power run game, meaning a lot of ball control and between-the-tackles grinding, and Stewart is perfect for that. DeAngelo Williams will take some reps from Stewart, but what rookie rusher won't lose carries? (McFadden might lose to Justin Fargas and Michael Bush). Stewart will get goal-line work and should see close to 275 carries this season. As for his turf toe injury, if it doesn't scare the Panthers from drafting him 13th overall, it doesn't scare me. | I wasn't happy with Darren McFadden going to the Raiders. I don't like the crowded backfield there, even though Dominic Rhodes is out and LaMont Jordan is following him. There's still Justin Fargas, and if you remember he was pretty good last year, along with the expected return of Michael Bush. But McFadden will find his way on the field and get the majority of carries because he's that good. And the Raiders were No. 6 in rushing offense last year, so Oakland's poor offensive line still found a way to get it done. There's going to be a lot of hype surrounding McFadden, but you'll want him as a No. 3 Fantasy option. By the middle of the season, he'll crack your starting lineup and end up as the most productive rookie rusher. | | What is the Fantasy value of Willie Parker entering the '08 season? | | Dave Richard | Jamey Eisenberg | It's almost bupkis, that's what it is. How can the Steelers tell us with a straight face that Parker, who is coming off a broken leg, will be their primary running back when they just drafted Rashard Mendenhall and added Mewelde Moore via free agency? Parker looks like he's headed for a running downs role, but without the goal-line work (for the second year in a row). If yardage counts big in your league, then Parker is still useful as a starter. But if touchdowns rule the roost, then you've got to figure Parker as no better than a No. 3 rusher. That's amazing when you consider that two years ago he was touted as a top-end Fantasy running back. | Last year, Parker was a huge disappointment when he rushed for 1,316 yards and only two touchdowns before breaking his leg in Week 16 at St. Louis. He was drafted as a No. 1 option and hurt most owners with his low touchdown total. Well, this year, expect similar stats with the addition of Rashard Mendenhall in the draft. Pittsburgh needs a bruising back for short-yardage situations, and Mendenhall will replace Najeh Davenport in that role. Mendenhall will take touchdowns away from Parker, as will the Steelers new pass-happy offense in the red zone. Parker will still get you yards, but as we know touchdowns win Fantasy titles. That's something Parker won't be doing much of any time soon. | | Other than Willie Parker, what veteran running back was most affected by the draft? | | Dave Richard | Jamey Eisenberg | The Bears showed no mercy for Cedric Benson in drafting Matt Forte with their second-round pick. After he fell down for much of his first season as the starter in Chicago, Benson will get his ankle healthy just in time to fight with a rookie for playing time, just as he had done with Thomas Jones for his first two seasons in Chicago. Forte is a polished back who can play three downs thanks to his excellent receiving and blocking skills. The only thing Forte lacks is breakaway speed, but Benson doesn't have that either. So while the Titans drafted Chris Johnson, at least LenDale White will have a valid role in the offense. Benson could be handing Forte Gatorade by Week 4. | Cedric Benson (Matt Forte), Willis McGahee (Ray Rice) and DeAngelo Williams (Jonathan Stewart) are some of the veteran running backs who will lose carries following the draft, but LenDale White's status concerns me the most. Why would the Titans, who needed help at wide receiver and have a quality backup rusher in Chris Henry, draft Chris Johnson in the first round? It makes no sense if they don't plan on using him, and that means White will lose touches. He should still get touchdowns and run for over 1,000 yards, but if Johnson is as good as advertised, White's production could slip from last year's 1,108 yards and seven touchdowns, which will lower his Fantasy value. | | Who will be the best rookie wide receiver? | | Dave Richard | Jamey Eisenberg | James Hardy is the most NFL-ready wide receiver among his peers. But, it's not because he's a do-it-all wideout. At 6-foot-5, Hardy is a big target with good hands, and the Bills are in love with the idea of using him in jump-ball situations in the red zone. When most NFL cornerbacks are barely six feet tall, Hardy should be able to come down with a lob much like Marques Colston did as a rookie and Plaxico Burress has done his entire career. Additionally, we know Hardy will be given every chance to start because the Bills' WR corps is pretty thin after Lee Evans. I think Hardy could be good for at least 600 yards and five touchdowns as a rookie, with much more upside depending on how well the Bills do this season. | DeSean Jackson is in great shape to have a solid rookie season because the Eagles need help at wide receiver. Reggie Brown will improve from last year, and Kevin Curtis is a decent Fantasy option. But look for Jackson to play a prominent role in this offense. Some experts thought Jackson was the best receiver in this draft, but his size (listed at 5-foot-11) was a detractor in his evaluation. Don't worry about that this year when you take Jackson as a No. 4 Fantasy option. Donovan McNabb will get Jackson the ball quite a bit, and he will make an impact right away in 2008. | | Who is the best sleeper rookie running back? | | Dave Richard | Jamey Eisenberg | It's hard to argue against Kevin Smith, who should have no trouble getting the starting job in Detroit, but again I have to point to Chicago and highlight Matt Forte as a legit sleeper. Forte can run a 4.4 40-yard dash and is used to playing on a weak offense in Tulane where he's the do-it-all player. If he wound up playing often in Chicago, he'd be doing it all there too, and that means plenty of stats. The Lions are still thin at running back and could add a veteran to better compete with Smith, while the Bears are likely done adding rushers. Forte's versatility and potential to start just as soon as Smith makes him a smidge more appealing. | Kevin Smith could start for the Lions right now. Detroit drafted the Central Florida product in the third round, and he was a workhorse for the Knights. Since Tatum Bell is the only one standing in his way, Smith could be the No. 1 RB for the Lions when the season starts. Now, Detroit obviously felt comfortable enough with Bell to bring him back following a poor season last year. And don't be surprised if the Lions bring in a veteran rusher (Shaun Alexander is a possibility). But if Smith gets a fair chance in training camp, and you can count on that happening, he could make an impact right away in 2008, so consider him a strong Fantasy option coming into this year. | | Which quarterback saw his Fantasy stock rise following the draft? | | Dave Richard | Jamey Eisenberg | While Jason Campbell has more new hands to throw to in the future, Trent Edwards might pop 20 touchdowns this season. That's because James Hardy is one of three rookie receivers I believe will be ready to play at the NFL level in 2008 (the others: Earl Bennett and Limas Sweed). Hardy is a big red-zone threat, and Edwards will be looking for him near the goal line. Campbell's new targets have more upside, especially when paired together, but Devin Thomas and Malcolm Kelly will need time to adapt to the NFL level. I'm treating Campbell and Edwards the same -- platoonable No. 2 Fantasy QBs -- but Edwards' Fantasy stock rose more than Campbell's after the draft. | Washington QB Jason Campbell already got good news this offseason with Jim Zorn taking over as head coach and bringing the West Coast offense with him, which should help Campbell's completion percentage and increase his stats. Now the Redskins gave Campbell plenty of new toys in drafting WR Devin Thomas, TE Fred Davis and WR Malcolm Kelly with their first three picks. Thomas was considered the best receiver in the draft by many, with Kelly not far behind. And Davis was one of the top tight ends. Along with Santana Moss and Chris Cooley, Campbell has tremendous weapons at his disposal. He has gone from an afterthought in all Fantasy drafts to a solid No. 2 option with the chance to start if he connects with his teammates right away. | Do you agree with Dave or Jamey? Send your thoughts to DMFantasyFootball@cbs.com and we'll post the best responses. Be sure to put Attn: Fantasy Faceoff in the subject field. Include your full name, hometown and state.
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